1/26/09 Early Morning #2: MFD Discussion

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY NIGHT......SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM AND MORE SNOW TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY MORNING


TUESDAY...INVERTED TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE REGIONWITH AMPLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF. TUES MORN...SNOW WILL BEONGOING ACROSS THE NORTH...WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET SOUTH...ANDA MIX IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CWA. WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL PUSHNORTHWARD...HELPING SFC TEMPS TO INCREASE A TAD TOO. HAVE INCREASINGSFC TEMPS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. QPF AMOUNTS IN THE MORNING SHOULDYIELD ABOUT A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACROSS CENTRAL-SOUTHCENTRAL KY...WITH SNOW AND SLEET AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES AND LOCALLYHIGHER OVER THE NORTH. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR PERHAPS 4 INCHESOF ADDITIONAL SNOW FROM 12-18Z TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTH. BYMIDDAY...THE FIRST WAVE OF PRECIP WILL WANE AND WE WILL HAVE A LULLIN THE PRECIP. HOWEVER...TEMPS WILL INCREASE THRU THE DAY ANDWHATEVER PRECIP WILL BE AROUND WILL SHIFT NORTH. THE ICE STORM WILLMOVE TO CENTRAL KY UP TO THE OHIO RIVER AND NRN BLUEGRASS...AND OURSRN/SERN CWA WILL HAVE JUST A COLD RAIN. OUR INDIANA COUNTIES WILLCHANGEOVER FROM ALL SNOW TO A SNOW AND SLEET MIX. WHATEVER ICE FELLACROSS THE FAR S/SE MAY MELT DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS TEMPS WARM.TUESDAY AFTERNOON AMOUNTS WILL STILL YIELD ABOUT A QUARTER INCH OFICE THRU THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE CWA...WITH MAYBE AN ADDITIONALINCH OF SLEET/SNOW OVER THE NORTH.


TUESDAY NIGHT...INVERTED TROUGH/SFC LOW WILL BE OVER THE FAR SERNCWA. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE N/NW AND A SECOND WAVE A PRECIPWILL MOVE INTO OUR CWA WITH THE MAX QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE SERN CWA.WITH THE WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NW...COLDER AIR BEHIND THE SFC TROUGHWILL WORK INTO THE CWA. POINTS ACROSS THE N/NW WILL CHANGE BACK OVERTO ALL SNOW...RAIN ACROSS THE SERN CWA WILL EVENTUALLY EXIT TO THEEAST...AND POINTS IN BETWEEN WILL STILL SEE A WINTRY MIX...MOSTLIKELY A SLEET/FZRA/SNOW MEDLEY. AFTER MIDNIGHT AND TOWARDS WEDDAWN...PRECIP WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST...WITH PRECIP CHANGING OVERTO ALL SNOW EXCEPT OVER THE SERN CWA WHERE A SLEET/SNOW MIX ISLIKELY. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMS OVER THE ERN/SERN CWA WILL BE ABOUT ATENTH OR LESS...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMS OF AROUND AN INCH BEFOREWEDNESDAY DAWN.


Going to be a wild storm for sure and I'll be updating this thru out the whole event along with pictures!